Stats gurus expose ‘rubbish’ finals myth

There is an easy formulation for profitable finals, in line with stats gurus David King and Daniel Hoyne.

Have your finest gamers taking part in at their finest.

“You go along on Thursday night and you’re watching De Goey and you’re watching Petracca and Oliver,” Hoyne, a Champion Data analyst, stated on Pure Footy.

“So often we hear the conversation, ‘it’s the bottom six’, I reckon it’s absolute rubbish.

“As a Collingwood supporter or Melbourne supporter or St Kilda, whoever you are this weekend, you are relying on your stars to rip the game apart. You’re not worrying about the bottom end.”

North Melbourne champion King stated September was an “arms race”.

“Team assets thrown head to head and performing or not, if you’re best players perform, you win.”

Hoyne revealed one of the best finals performers on Champion Data’s new 100X rankings system, and the gamers who’ve underperformed in September. That record options some shock names together with Jake Lever and Luke Parker.

And he stated Brisbane’s Cam Rayner is “on watch” after going goalless in his previous two finals.

King stated the No.1 draft decide had his “best chance to impact” this yr.

“He’s averaged only nine disposals in six finals,” he stated.

“You’ve got to find a way to get your best players into the game. Chris Fagan is using him slightly differently, so I would expect that to correct.

“He gets his best opportunity not as a deep forward waiting for the ball, he’s actually around the heat.”

Originally revealed as Pure Footy: Stats gurus David King and Daniel Hoyne on the massive developments forward of finals week one

Source: www.news.com.au