Crows or Power? Adelaide vs Port: who do the odds like in Showdown 54?

ADELAIDE CROWS (8-10) v PORT ADELAIDE POWER (14-4) BETTING PREVIEW

Adelaide Oval, Saturday July 29, 7.40pm

Full CODE Bet Match Centre right here

WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT

• The Crows gained Showdown 53 in spherical 3 in a 117-86 upset.
• Both groups come into this on dropping streaks with Adelaide dropping three in a row and the Power its previous two.
• The all-time Showdown document is Port with 27 wins, Adelaide with 26.

THE MATCH-UP

There’s no extra bitter rivalry within the AFL than the Showdown. The Battle of South Australia all the time delivers loads of emotion and hard soccer, as evidenced by the truth that in 53 earlier iterations, the document books stand Port 27, Adelaide 26.

Adelaide gained Showdown 53 again in spherical 3 in an upset, however each the Crows and Power hit the second Showdown of 2023 driving dropping streaks. The Power have dropped their previous two, whereas the Crows are losers of three straight, placing a finals spot in dire jeopardy.

In truth, if Adelaide lose on this spot to Port, that’s mainly the Crows finals probabilities cooked. Port would love nothing greater than sound the dying knell on their cross-town rivals with a giant showdown win.

This is the second-ranked offence within the league of Adelaide (94.6 factors per recreation) taking the third-ranked Port (94.2 factors an outing) and every of the Crows and Power have seen three of their previous 4 video games go over the overall factors line.

The previous three Showdowns have additionally hit the over and 7 of the final eight video games at Adelaide Oval have additionally hit the over.

PLUCKED CROWS

In dropping to Essendon, GWS and Melbourne, Adelaide have slipped to thirteenth on the ladder and must win to maintain its season alive. The Crows may have to take action with out prize recruit Izak Rankine who injured his hamstring final week and defender Nick Murray who tore an ACL.

It will imply extra strain on Crows captain Jordan Dawson, so it’s simply as nicely he loves taking part in at Adelaide Oval, going for 27+ touches in eight straight video games there. For the season he’s averaging over 27 disposals a recreation and has topped 30 on seven events. Look for the skipper to step up and be in every single place for the Crows on Saturday.

The large names like Rory Laird and Rory Sloane are inclined to do a little bit of the heavy lifting for the Crows however Brodie Smith has been in tremendous strong kind heading into this recreation. Smith has hit the 20+ disposal mark in 4 straight video games, whereas the type of Ben Keays is paramount to the Crows successful.

In the final three video games – all losses – Keays has solely managed 20,17 and 19 disposals, after not dipping beneath 25 within the 5 video games prior. He’s additionally snagged at the least one main in seven of the final eight video games.

As for the Crows ahead line, large Tex Walker sits seven majors behind Charlie Curnow within the race for this yr’s Coleman Medal, having kicked at the least two objectives in each recreation since spherical seven and in 14 of his 17 video games this yr. He’s solely managed one aim in his final two Showdowns, search for a giant bounceback from Tex, who has booted 4+ majors in three of the previous 4 video games the Crows have performed in opposition to prime 4 groups.

With Izak Rankine injured, it falls to the Fan Favourite, Luke Pedlar to step up. The third-year man had three objectives in Showdown 53 and managed 9 objectives over a six-game stretch earlier than lacking out the final two weeks. Look for him to fill the Rankine-sized ahead hole for the Crows and choose up one other two.

POWER UP

After successful 13 straight video games, Port have dropped its final two and have an enormous alternative in entrance of them: if the Power can deal with Adelaide, it ought to concurrently shore up their prime two probabilities AND basically knock out their hated cross-town rivals out of the finals.

The Power midfield has been the driving drive behind the crew’s 2023 success, with Zak Butters and Connor Rozee having profession breakout years and the likes of Dan Houston and Ollie Wines offering a steely backbone.

Butters, particularly, has been in Brownlow-winning kind, averaging over 26 disposals a recreation all season. Butters has been a bit hit and miss in opposition to the Crows – he and the remainder of the midfield struggled within the Showdown 53 loss – however he pulled off 26 in Showdown 52 on the finish of final season, and bounced again from a troublesome recreation in opposition to the Blues with 31 touches in opposition to Collingwood final week.

That was his sixth recreation this season going over 30 and Butters additionally has at the least one aim in 5 of his final six in opposition to the Crows: if he fires, Port ought to win.

Connor Rozee has additionally had a wonderful season, averaging over 25 touches a recreation, having dipped beneath that mark solely twice in his final 11 outings, plus Rozee has 25+ in 9 straight at Adelaide Oval.

Amazingly, Rozee has additionally banged in 2+ objectives in his final 4 video games as nicely.

Up entrance, large bustling Jeremy Finlayson has been terrific all yr, particularly when Port has been favorite at house. He’s snagged at the least three objectives in 4 of his final 5 with Port favourites within the confines of Adelaide Oval. With the Crows backline stretched a bit skinny, Finlayson and Todd Marshall ought to feast.

For his half, Todd Marshall has booted at the least two objectives in 5 of his previous seven video games and has 15 in seven profession Showdowns. Marshall solely managed one snag in spherical 3, however had 4 within the last spherical conflict final season.

FIRST GOAL KICKER

Sam Powell-Pepper was virtually the hero final week, so search for him to hold over that kind as the primary aim kicker in Showdown 54: he’s snagged the primary main of a recreation 4 occasions for the reason that begin of final season and in three of the final 4 night time matches Port has performed at Adelaide Oval.

THE PICK

It’s arduous to go previous the Port midfield main the Power to a win in Showdown 54, however have been Adelaide more healthy, the +17.5 level line for the Crows can be the choose.

But with the damage outs of Rankine and Murray in addition to considerations round Rory Laird’s shoulder, it’s robust to see Adelaide having sufficient to win.

At house the Crows ought to handle to remain inside contact, however Port have an excessive amount of class to lose this one.

SHOWDOWN 54 – ADELAIDE vs PORT ADELAIDE SAME GAME MULTI

• Zak Butters – 25+ disposals

Butters is averaging 26 touches a recreation this season.

• Connor Rozee – 25+ disposals

Rozee has topped 25 touches in 9 straight at house.

• Ollie Wines – 20+ disposals

The former Brownlow winner has gone for 26+ in 4 of the final 5 Port night time video games at house.

• Ben Keays – 25+ disposals

Keays ripped off 5 straight video games of 25+ touches earlier than this three recreation dropping streak.

• Jordan Dawson – 25+ disposals

The Crows captain has 27+ in eight straight at Adelaide Oval.

• Brodie Smith – 20+ disposals

Brodes has gone for 20+ in his final 4.

Tex has 44 in 21 profession Showdowns.

• Jeremy Finlayson – 2+ objectives

Big Jeremy Finlayson has managed three or extra in 4 of the previous 5 video games that Port’s been the favorite at house.

Marshall has snagged 2+ in 4 of the final 5 with the Power as favorite.

NINE-LEG SHOWDOWN 54 SAME GAME MULTI @ $57.77 (by way of Ladbrokes)

[all odds as of July 27]

– CHECK OUT CODE BET’S AFL BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS AND ODDS ANALYSIS HUB HERE –

Originally revealed as Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power: who wins Showdown 54? Round 20 betting ideas, odds, multi picks and predictions