Top-of-the-ladder Collingwood host the reigning AFL premiers Geelong in an enormous Friday night time conflict on the MCG to open spherical 22. Read on for CODE Bet’s AFL betting ideas, multi picks and evaluation for Collingwood vs Geelong on the MCG on Friday August 11.
COLLINGWOOD MAGPIES (16-4) v GEELONG CATS (10-9-1) BETTING PREVIEW
MCG, Friday, 7.50pm
Full CODE Bet Match Centre right here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- Collingwood have misplaced two in a row for the primary time all season.
- The Magpies are 8-1 at dwelling this season, whereas Geelong is 3-6-1 away.
- Geelong has received 4 of the previous 5 matchups between the 2, however the Pies have coated the road in three of them.
THE MATCH-UP
Two of the AFL’s most dominant groups of latest classic within the ladder-leading Collingwood Magpies and reigning premiers Geelong Cats go head-to-head on the MCG on Friday in what shapes up as a season-defining conflict for each golf equipment.
Heading in after defeats by the hands of Carlton and Hawthorn, Collingwood has misplaced two video games in a row for the primary time this season and also will lose celebrity Nick Daicos to a knee harm.
Geelong final week overcame a slew of harm absences to muscle their strategy to a house victory over high 4 Port Adelaide and preserve their season alive.
The reigning premiers sit exterior the highest eight with solely three video games remaining, so one other win on this spot is essential for Geelong’s probabilities of enjoying finals, whereas the Magpies are two video games clear on the high of the desk.
The two groups met in spherical one this yr with the Pies, as has turn into the norm, pulling off an enormous come-from-behind victory after trailing at three-quarter time to emerge 125-103 winners.
Collingwood nonetheless has the AFL’s greatest defence, conceding solely 71.6 factors a sport, whereas Geelong are seventh, giving up 77.7.
Offensively the 2 groups are each high six: Geelong sit fourth at 92.7 factors an outing, whereas the Pies are proper behind them at 91.6 in sixth.
Combined the 2 groups have a 24-13 file this season of video games hitting the entire factors over, with three of the previous 5 clashes between the pair additionally going over.
COLD PIES
Despite what seems to be an unassailable lead on the high of the ladder, after two straight losses Collingwood will probably be determined to proper the ship and get again within the winners column in opposition to the Cats.
Losing Nick Daicos is clearly a catastrophe and the Pies midfield depth will probably be sorely examined. Josh – aka Daicos the Elder – has had an distinctive season in averaging over 25 disposals a sport and hitting the scoreboard for 14 objectives.
The Elder Son of the Macedonian Marvel had 27 touches in spherical 1, in addition to 29 and a objective in final yr’s hard-fought qualifying remaining loss.
But the harm to Nick Daicos will imply a gap for one of many extra unheralded Pies ball-gatherers in Jack Crisp to face tall and get some shine.
Crisp is averaging 21 touches a sport this yr, however completed final week with 27 and has a five-week common of 24.2 disposals a sport.
Crisp has additionally rattled off 22, 23 and 24 disposal outings in his final three in opposition to the Cats.
One different large identify that will probably be wanted to step up with the absence of Daicos is Jordan De Goey: after being cleaned up by Jack Scrimshaw, search for the big-bodied midfielder to attempt to reassert himself with an enormous sport.
De Goey additionally had 25 disposals and three objectives in spherical one, together with 26 touches and two snags within the qualifying remaining final yr. De Goey managed two majors final week and has topped 25 touches eight occasions already this season.
Despite Taylor Adams appears like one other of the extra ignored Pies midfielders: he managed 16 touches and a objective in spherical one in opposition to Geelong and 30 again in spherical three final season.
Adams has had a quiet few weeks with 12 and 13 disposals prior to now two losses, however managed 25 and 23 within the two video games previous to that, whereas additionally managing besides 12 objectives this season. The Pies will want Adams to have an enormous night time to get by Geelong.
PURRING CATS
The Cats managed to snag a win over Port final week whereas coping with a slew of harm problems with their very own and the continued absence of Tom Hawkins, Mark Blicavs and Cam Guthrie was added to with the lack of Jack Henry for the remainder of the season.
One Cat who’s stood up regardless of these large absences has been Isaac Smith: he had 22 disposals and a objective in opposition to Port final week and averages over 21 touches a sport and a bit underneath a objective per sport on the MCG.
Tom Atkins is one other Cat who would possibly slip underneath the radar, however the fifth-year man has been tremendous regular all season whereas averaging a career-high 18.5 disposals a contest.
That quantity has ticked up not too long ago as Geelong has succumbed to the harm bug, averaging over 22 a sport throughout the final 5 video games. He additionally managed 21 and 23 prior to now two cracks at Collingwood.
Up entrance, Ollie Henry has been doing all of the heavy lifting since Hawkins went out, booting 4 objectives final week in opposition to the Power and utilizing his dimension and velocity to get the primary take a look at the ball.
The 21 yr previous has kicked 12 majors over the previous 5 weeks and 34.18 for the season, whereas the previous Pie doesn’t thoughts enjoying in opposition to his previous membership with 15 disposals and two objectives in spherical one.
Henry’s kicked a number of majors in 4 of his final six video games and will profit from the eye paid to Jeremy Cameron.
Speaking of Jezza, after a blistering begin to the season when it appeared like he might boot 100 objectives, the large Cat has had a tough run since about spherical 9. But Cameron’s steadied over the previous few weeks – regardless of the 1.5 he kicked in opposition to Freo two weeks in the past – and has 11 objectives over his final three video games in opposition to the Pies, together with six in spherical three final season.
Jezza additionally has 81 objectives in 30 video games on the MCG: search for him to get on the board for a number of extra.
BEST GOAL KICKER PLAYER PROP
Of all of the Collingwood forwards, Jamie ‘Billy’ Elliott has been in the very best kind over the previous two months, with the bustling small ahead racking up 21 objectives in his final seven video games.
With 31.20 for the season and 168 complete objectives in 103 video games on the ‘G, for the Pies to have a chance, ‘Billy’ wants to fireside.
THE PICK
The Pies are reeling after the previous two weeks have seen the opposition go exhausting on the contest and out-muscle this Collingwood workforce that’s backside 4 in contested possessions and under common in complete clearances.
Geelong sit simply forward in contested possessions and behind them in complete clearances, and can want a particular exhibiting to get previous a Pies workforce that will probably be hungry for a get-right win.
Given the historical past between the 2 groups, count on a decent tussle, however for the wounded Cats to scratch out a detailed win.
NINE-LEG ‘CATS AMONG PIES’ – COLLINGWOOD vs GEELONG SAME GAME MULTI
- Josh Daicos – 25+ disposals
Daicos The Elder is averaging over 25 touches a sport this season and has 27 and 29 in his final two in opposition to Geelong.
- Jack Crisp – 20+ disposals
Crispy has ripped off 22, 23 and 24 touches in his final three in opposition to the Cats.
- Jordan De Goey – 20+ disposals
With Nick Daicos out Collingwood will probably be De Gone if De Goey doesn’t fireplace.
- John Noble – 15+ disposals
In 18 of 20 video games this yr the Noble One has gone for 15+.
‘Billy’ has kicked 21 majors in his final seven video games.
- Patrick Dangerfield – 20+ disposals
Danger hasn’t been at his greatest for the previous few rounds, however averages 23 possessions in opposition to the Pies.
- Gryan Miers – 20+ disposals
Geelong’s personal Lionel Messi clone is averaging 19 touches a sport this season, however had 24 final week, and a run of 27, 32 and 26 throughout rounds 16-18.
Look for former Pie Ollie Henry to proceed his scorching goal-kicking kind – 2+ in 4 of his final six video games – in opposition to his previous workforce.
- Jeremy Cameron – 2+ objectives
Without Tomahawk up entrance subsequent to him, Big Jezza must go giant for the Cats to have an opportunity and had six in opposition to Collingwood final season.
NINE-LEG CATS AMONG PIES – SAME GAME MULTI @ $34.80 (through Ladbrokes)
[all odds as of August 11]
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Originally revealed as Collingwood vs Geelong: AFL Round 22 Friday night time betting ideas, multi picks and predictions
Source: www.news.com.au
