CARLTON (4-2-1) v BRISBANE (5-2) BETTING PREVIEW
CARLTON BLUES: $1.86 (through betr)
BRISBANE LIONS: $1.97 (through bet365)
Marvel Stadium, Friday, 7.50pm
Full CODE Bet Match Centre right here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- Brisbane have received 4 straight this season and the final three matchups in opposition to Carlton.
- Carlton put up its largest rating in over a decade final week in opposition to West Coast as Charlie Curnow kicked a career-high 9 objectives.
- Brisbane are 6-2 at Marvel within the final 5 seasons.
THE MATCH-UP
The Lions are roaring and sit fourth on the ladder having ripped off 4 straight wins over the Dockers, Giants, Roos and the Magpies.
They’ve additionally had the wooden over Carlton the previous few years, profitable three straight matchups in opposition to the Blues by a mean of twenty-two factors, with Carlton’s final win coming at Marvel in 2019.
Which makes the truth that Carlton are favorite a little bit of a head scratcher.
The Lions high-powered offence is ripping off 101.3 pts a sport, good for third within the AFL whereas in addition they enable 84.1 (tenth). Carlton, in the meantime, put up 152 factors in opposition to West Coast final week to spice up its common factors per sport as much as 86.1.
Brisbane’s final 4 video games have hit the over, whereas three of the final 4 Carlton video games have as effectively and every of the three prior matchups between the 2 groups has additionally gone over.
OUT OF THE BLUES
Carlton have been extraordinarily spectacular final week in dealing with the West Coast Eagles and posting its largest win (108 factors) since 2011.
The Blues backline and midfield have been at their rebounding greatest due to the returns of Sam Docherty and Adam Saad, as Patrick Cripps stood tall whereas Blake Acres continued to be at his ball-gathering greatest and is now averaging 26 disposals a sport.
But it was Sam Walsh who continued his unimaginable run after lastly debuting following offseason surgical procedure, posting his second straight sport with 30+ possessions. He averages 29 touches a sport at Marvel and 30.75 in opposition to the Lions in 4 profession video games.
Adam Cerra has additionally stepped up in a giant method over the previous two weeks, going for 30+ in every and is now averaging a career-high 26.3 touches an outing. Dating again to spherical 11 final 12 months he’s had eight video games with over 25 touches.
Charlie Curnow dominated the Eagles final week on his technique to a profession excessive 9 objectives and is now tied atop the Coleman Medal leaderboard with 30 snags thus far this season.
He additionally loves taking part in at Marvel, having booted 66 objectives there in solely 32 profession video games and had three in opposition to the Lions in Carlton’s win in 2019.
ROARING LIONS
Between Chucky Cameron, Joe Daniher, large Eric Hipwood and deadeye Jack Gunston, the Lions offence is terrifying at occasions, and we’ve seen Carlton capitulate to a multi-pronged assault once they have been run over by Adelaide.
Cameron, specifically, has been in ridiculous type kicking 19 objectives previously 4 weeks. He’s additionally bought 30 in 15 video games at Marvel and has gone for 2 and three objectives previously two video games in opposition to the Blues.
Adding Josh Dunkley to the midfield this previous offseason additionally feels a bit unfair however this can be a staff that’s ranked final for disposals per sport at 335.9, with the fewest common handballs within the league at 118.
Still, Lachie Neale is averaging 27.4 touches a sport (down from final 12 months’s 30), whereas rookie gun Will Ashcroft is dominating already, averaging 23.3 disposals a sport after solely seven video games of senior footy.
BEST PLAYER PROP
Harry McKay kicked six majors in opposition to the Lions at Marvel again in 2021: with Curnow taking over loads of the defenders consideration, search for McKay to quiet the doubters with a giant sport.
THE PICK
Brisbane are trying ominous having received 4 in a row: the Lions have additionally coated the road 9 of the final 12 video games they’ve performed in opposition to Carlton and had received 5 straight at Marvel earlier than their hiccup in opposition to the Bulldogs in spherical 3.
As evidenced by the 22-point common margin over the previous few years, the groups play tight contests, however the Lions are the extra harmful staff proper now.
— BATTLE OF THE BOLTERS SAME GAME MULTI —
- Blake Acres – 25+ disposals
Blake Acres is trying good in navy blue, averaging 26 disposals a sport.
- Corey Durdin – anytime objective
Durds has continued to impress, kicking at the least a objective in six straight video games.
- Adam Saad – 25+ disposals
Saad returned from harm like he by no means missed a beat with 25 final week: 25+ in opposition to the attacking Lions needs to be on the playing cards for the rebounding defender.
- Josh Dunkley – 25+ disposals
Only averaging 24 a sport this 12 months Dunkley has a carer common in opposition to the Blues of 26.
The Big Hippy would be the third or fourth choice for the Lions, however that’s precisely the place Carlton’s tall defender shares – between Jacob Weitering, Mitch McGovern and Lewis Young – begin getting skinny on the bottom.
FIVE-LEG SGM @ $22.22 (through Ladbrokes)
[all odds as of May3]
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Originally revealed as Carlton Blues vs Brisbane Lions betting preview, greatest bets: Friday evening AFL spherical 8 odds
Source: www.news.com.au
