It’s do-or-die time because the Western Bulldogs host the Richmond Tigers at Marvel Stadium on Friday night time. A win for both would preserve the Dogs within the eight or the Tigers season alive, whereas a loss would make life powerful for each squads.
WESTERN BULLDOGS (10-9) vs RICHMOND TIGERS (9-9-1) BETTING PREVIEW
Marvel Stadium, Friday, 7.50pm
Full CODE Bet Match Centre right here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- The betting favorite has received 15 straight occasions at Marvel.
- Richmond hasn’t lined the road in its final seven video games when taking part in at Marvel.
- Four straight Bulldogs video games have gone beneath the factors complete mark.
THE MATCH-UP
An enormous Friday conflict awaits followers this week because the Western Bulldogs host Richmond in a September-shaping match up.
If the Bulldogs win, they need to haven’t any issues making the eight – with video games towards the Hawks and West Coast to return – whereas a Tigers victory would vault Richmond over the Dogs and provides their finals probabilities a shot within the arm, regardless of a tricky closing draw.
A loss for both wouldn’t be the tip of the world, however it might put the loser behind the 8-ball by way of taking part in finals.
The two groups final met in spherical 4 on the MCG, the place the Bulldogs pulled off a ripper 89-84 win, their first in 4 tries towards the Tigers since 2019.
The Dogs have misplaced three of their final 4 by a median of 6.3 factors, whereas the Tigers have received three of 4, however had been run over by the Demons final week in shedding by 32 factors.
Richmond is ranked eleventh and the Dogs twelfth within the AFL for factors per sport at 82.3 and 81.1 respectively, whereas the Doggies defence sits sixth (conceding 76.7 an outing) and the Tigers twelfth (84.1).
In Richmond’s final two video games at Marvel the Tigers have managed 48 factors towards Gold Coast and 52 in a draw with Fremantle, whereas the previous 4 Bulldogs video games have all gone beneath the whole factors line.
CAN THE DOGS BITE BACK?
Losing Josh Bruce to a knee damage is a big blow for the Bulldogs; they had been outscored 61-27 by GWS final week in Ballarat as soon as he went down. They will even be with out Alex Keath and Ryan Gardner.
The requires this forwardline to ship constantly have grown louder because the season has progressed and regardless of the midfield bulls of Marcus Bontempelli and Tom Liberatore delivering glorious seasons, Adam Treloar including class and Jack Macrae at all times getting loads of the capsule Luke Beveridge’s squad as a complete have been underwhelming.
Just like an early ‘00s bar doing shot specials, they need more from their Baileys; Smith, Dale and Williams.
At least their captain is standing up. In seven straight games and in 12 of his past 13, Bont has gone for 25+ disposals while kicking 11 goals across those contests and has also booted at least one goal in his last three against Richmond at Marvel.
His midfield mate Tom Liberatore is having the best season of his career, with Libba averaging over 28 touches a game and racking up 30+ in the last three straight games.
A lot of the inconsistency of the Dogs forwardline can be attributed to Amazing Disappearing Man Aaron Naughton who can look like the best forward in the comp and go completely MIA in the same game. But he does love playing the Tigers, having booted 3+ goals in three of his last four games against the Tigers.
Jamarra Ugle-Hagan isn’t doing his group too many favours in that division both.
Ugle-Hagan managed a solitary behind in final week’s misplaced to the Giants, and has now kicked 26.32 for the season. Against the Tigers in spherical 4 he may solely muster two behinds, however will relish being again beneath the roof at Marvel, the place he has kicked 20 of these objectives in 10 video games.
Cody ‘The Flea’ Weightman is one other Marvel specialist with 47 objectives in solely 23 profession video games beneath the dome, with 18 of them coming over his final 5 video games there.
ONE LAST ROAR?
Last week’s loss to Melbourne was an enormous hit to the Tigers season and issues don’t look to get a lot better because the Tigers head to the un-happy searching floor of Marvel.
In the previous 5 seasons the Tiges are 4-8-1 at Docklands and haven’t lined the road in seven straight video games, plus they go into this sport with out Dustin Martin (rested).
Richmond, nonetheless, will probably be seeking to welcome again massive ruckman Toby Nankervis from suspension and Jayden Short from damage.
If they need to flip that kind line round, it will likely be because of their midfield cadre of Tim Taranto, Jacob Hopper and Shai Bolton, together with the ever-reliable Dustin Martin. The likes of Dion Prestia, Trent Cotchin and Liam Baker didn’t have sufficient affect late final week, and Taranto’s numbers have dropped over the previous 5 weeks.
Taranto may need dipped a contact from his rampaging mid-season kind, however nonetheless had 24 touches and a purpose towards the Demons final week. On high of averaging over 30 disposals a sport this yr, Timmy T has kicked a purpose in 11 of his final 14 video games.
But Bolton is prospering after having been thrust into the midfield by interim coach Andrew McQualter and averaging a career-high 22 disposals a sport, whereas additionally nonetheless hitting the scoreboard, having kicked 23.23 for the season. Bolton additionally doesn’t thoughts taking over the Dogs, having snagged 2+ objectives in three straight outings towards the Sons of the Scray.
Daniel Rioli has additionally benefitted from extra run throughout half again and within the midfield, averaging 22 touches for the season. He’s had an up-and-down previous 5 weeks, with 18, 18, 31, 20 and 16 disposal video games, however he had 29 the final time these two groups met. Without Dustin Martin within the group, Rioli will probably be wanted to step in and assist the heavy lifting towards the Dogs midfield.
GOAL KICKER PLAYER PROP
Over his lengthy and storied profession Ol’ Faithful Jack Riewoldt has a reasonably useful file towards the Western Bulldogs: in 16 video games, he has 45 complete objectives, and has kicked at the least 2+ in his final seven straight towards them at Marvel.
Big Jack hasn’t managed a number of objectives in a sport since spherical 15 towards Freo, however beneath the roof (the place he has 124 majors in 47 video games) he ought to discover his manner to a few.
THE PICK
Richmond’s kind (and lack of ability to attain) at Marvel is hard to disregard, however they’ve received six of their previous eight video games this season, whereas the Western Bulldogs have dropped three of 4 and their damage woes additionally pose an issue.
The Dogs get Liam Jones again and are 6-4 at Marvel this season; it’s onerous to see the Tigers having fairly sufficient midfield firepower to match the Bont and co.
BEST BET: Western Bulldogs 1-39: $2.20 (by way of Betr)
— WESTERN BULLDOGS vs RICHMOND SAME GAME MULTI – DISPOSAL FRENZY —
- Adam Treloar – 30+ disposals
Treloar has gone for over 32 touches in 4 straight towards Richmond.
- Jack Macrae – 25+ disposals
The Jack Attack has racked up over 30 touches in six of his final seven towards the Tiges and averages over 28 at Marvel.
- Marcus Bontempelli – 25+ disposals
The Bont has hit 27+ in seven straight outings.
- Tom Liberatore – 25+ disposals
Libba has cracked 30 in three straight.
- Bailey Dale – 20+ disposals
In eight straight house video games, the Dogs Dale number of Bailey has gone for 25+.
- Tim Taranto – 30+ disposals
Taranto has hit 28+ touches in 9 straight night time video games in Victoria.
- Dion Prestia – 20+ disposals
In 10 straight video games towards the Dogs, The Nugget has gone for 20+ touches.
- Shai Bolton – 20+ disposals
Bolton is averaging 22 touches a sport this yr.
- Jack Ross – 15+ disposals
The ‘Other’ Jack for the Tiges has hit 15 or extra touches in 10 straight.
9-LEG DISPOSAL FRENZY WESTERN BULLDOGS vs RICHMOND SGM @ $22.60 (by way of Ladbrokes)
[all odds as of August 4]
– CHECK OUT CODE BET’S AFL BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS AND ODDS ANALYSIS HUB HERE –
Originally printed as Bulldogs or Tigers? Western Bulldogs vs Richmond: Round 21 Friday night time betting ideas, odds, multi picks and predictions
Source: www.news.com.au