Slim growth figure expected as economy stalls

Higher rates of interest, worth pressures and dicey world situations are anticipated to maintain development on the subdued aspect within the June quarter.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will launch the nationwide accounts on Wednesday.

Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned the outcomes could also be underwhelming.

“What we’ve seen in recent data is the impact of higher interest rates, high but moderating inflation, and also this continuing global uncertainty on our economy,” Dr Chalmers mentioned on Tuesday.

Speaking within the wake of the Reserve Bank’s determination to maintain rates of interest on maintain in September, Dr Chalmers anticipated to see the challenges exhibiting up within the nationwide accounts “in one way or another”.

In the three months to March, the financial system grew a modest 0.2 per cent, and a couple of.3 per cent on an annual foundation.

Ahead of the June outcome, forecasters have been feeling extra upbeat following the discharge of a number of the final remaining knowledge factors that slot into GDP, with the sturdy outcomes sufficient to stamp out fears of a detrimental quarter of financial exercise.

Commonwealth Bank up to date its forecast greater within the wake of sturdy public demand and internet exports knowledge, with the financial institution now pencilling 0.5 per cent quarterly development and a 1.9 per cent elevate over the 12 months.

Economist Stephen Wu mentioned the outcomes would masks weak spot in non-public demand, which incorporates family spending and dwelling funding.

“Instead, the pick-up in GDP growth reflects comparative strength in the public and external sector as well as rapid population growth,” he predicted.

ANZ additionally upgraded its forecasts on Tuesday.

The financial institution’s economists expect a 0.4 per cent elevate in GDP over the quarter and a 1.9 per cent rise on a year-on-year foundation.

The nationwide accounts report additionally contains measures of labour price development and productiveness.

Source: www.perthnow.com.au