Australia’s glut of wine will proceed for some years with greater than 2.8 billion bottles in storage, a report has discovered.
Even in a best-case state of affairs, with the removing of Chinese tariffs and a restoration in gross sales to the area, it could take at the very least two years to work by means of the excess, primarily based on the Rabobank Wine Quarterly report.
Associate analyst Pia Piggott mentioned there have been greater than two billion litres or greater than 2.8 billion bottles of wine readily available, with the oversupply the results of commerce points, but additionally impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and a bumper grape harvest.
At its peak in 2019, China accounted for 18 per cent of Australia’s wine exports.
But Ms Piggott mentioned when a slew of Chinese anti-dumping tariffs have been imposed in 2020, wine took essentially the most notable hit, shedding about one-third of its export worth.
“Unluckily, the tariff coincided with an exceptional growing season and Australia’s largest crush on record,” she mentioned.
“Wine production for the ’21 vintage increased 36 per cent year on year, which would have in any case caused an oversupply.
“This coincided with COVID, logistics bottlenecks and inflation which have been main hurdles in the best way of plans to develop and diversify exports.”
The upside has been cheaper prices for consumers, but the glut of grapes has also cut returns to growers, prompting the Rabobank report to call for reduced acreage to allow for a return to profitability.
Ms Piggott said pressures on margins would remain high for vineyards for some time, especially for those without contracts and growing a high mix of red varieties.
For wineries, stocks would remain high as businesses slowly worked through selling existing inventories.
“While some manufacturers have elevated bulk shipments and been capable of closely low cost inventory, this might want to proceed for a while to rebalance the market,” she said.
Looking more broadly at the export market, Rabobank said while sales to the US had increased in recent years, demand from the UK had fallen.
In 2023 and onwards, each nations have been anticipated to stay key export markets, although the imposition of latest alcohol duties in Britain was a trigger for concern.
Source: www.perthnow.com.au
