Jobless figures ‘final nail in coffin’ for rates hike

Jobless figures ‘final nail in coffin’ for rates hike

A cooling labour market has added to expectations the Reserve Bank will not raise rates of interest additional.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported on Thursday the nationwide jobless price rose 0.2 share factors to three.7 per cent in July.

Employment dropped by 14,600 individuals and the variety of unemployed elevated by 35,600 individuals.

The participation price additionally decreased 0.1 share level to 66.7 per cent.

Economists stated the outcome owed a lot to a seasonal swing on the finish of the monetary yr and college holidays.

But a collection of rate of interest rises has additionally been taking the warmth out of inflation and slowing the financial system.

The Reserve Bank famous in its most up-to-date board assembly minutes it believed the labour market was at a “turning point”.

“The bigger picture is that the Reserve Bank will take some comfort from the fact that the labour market is starting to cool,” Capital Economics’ Abhijit Surya stated.

“We’re sticking with our non-consensus view that the RBA won’t lift rates any higher.”

Ben Udy, lead economist for Oxford Economics Australia, described the info because the “final nail in the coffin for any lingering expectations of a rate hike in September”.

ANZ’s Adam Boyton stated he anticipated the money price to stay on maintain “for quite some time”.

The RBA has paused the money price at 4.1 per cent for 2 months in a row following 400 foundation factors of hikes since May 2022.

The underemployment price remained at 6.4 per cent in July, about 2.4 share factors decrease than earlier than the pandemic.

Across the states, unemployment was highest in Tasmania (4.7 per cent), adopted by Queensland (4.5 per cent), SA (4.0 per cent), NT (3.9 per cent), ACT (3.8 per cent), Victoria (3.6 per cent), WA (3.4 per cent) and NSW (3.3 per cent).

Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated the uptick within the jobless price was anticipated.

“Unfortunately that’s what we’ve seen in these numbers today, but it’s still pretty remarkable, given everything that is coming at us from around the world, that we’ve got an unemployment rate with a three in front of it.”

He stated the labour market was nonetheless extremely sturdy.

“The RBA will weigh this up in the same way it weighs up … some of the other issues in our economy at the moment.”

Opposition employment spokeswoman Michaelia Cash stated the jobless rise was regarding “especially on the back of confirmation earlier in the week that real wages are continuing to go backwards under Labor”.

“Mr Albanese has taken the strong labour market left by the previous coalition government for granted and is not interested in strengthening our economy,” Senator Cash said.

New ABS data showed the gender pay gap is at a record low.

Australian women are earning, on average, $13,120 less in their annual base salary than men each year.

The gap of 13 per cent is an 0.3 percentage point decrease on figures released in February.

Workplace Gender Equality Agency CEO Mary Wooldridge stated it must be a springboard for renewed motion by employers.

Source: www.perthnow.com.au