IMF’s brutal prognosis for interest rates

Interest charges must be hiked even greater and Australian governments ought to slash spending to keep away from stoking inflation, the International Monetary Fund has really helpful.

In its annual Australian “Economic Health Check” launched on Friday, the fund mentioned Australia was more likely to keep away from a recession.

But it suggested that financial coverage must be “tightened further to ensure inflation comes back to target earlier than 2026,” barely later than the central financial institution’s late 2025 timeline.

Since May 2022, the Reserve Bank has aggressively raised borrowing prices, mountaineering rates of interest to a 12-year excessive of 4.35 per cent, because it makes an attempt to chill the economic system and tame inflation.

As a consequence, the Washington-based establishment warned family debtors had been bearing the brunt of upper charges, amid decrease actual wages and depleting financial savings.

“Higher policy rates have primarily affected lower income households with mortgages … adding to their hardship amid high inflation and cost of living crisis.”

However, slicing rates of interest too early risked rates of interest remaining greater for longer, which might “trigger pockets of household distress”, it mentioned.

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