Aussie recession now ‘perilously close’

Aussie recession now ‘perilously close’

Inflation has climbed again to a 30-year excessive, because the World Bank points a dire warning about how “perilously close” the worldwide economic system is to recession.

The month-to-month shopper value index rose 7.3 per cent within the 12 months to November 2022, the Australian Bureau of Statistics has revealed.

That’s a rise from the 6.9 per cent determine recorded in October, however is identical because the September determine.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the newest figures “underscores the pressure being felt throughout our economy and the pinch being felt by Australian households”.

“The November result doesn’t fully include the latest energy prices that are a direct result of nine months of Russian aggression and nine years of Coalition incompetence,” he stated.

“There is also uncertainty around the impacts of ongoing flooding that continues to devastate communities across our country.”

The monthly consumer price index rose 7.3 per cent in the year to  November 2022, the Australian Bureau of Statistics has revealed. 
Camera IconThe month-to-month shopper value index rose 7.3 per cent within the 12 months to November 2022, the Australian Bureau of Statistics has revealed. Credit: Supplied

The ABS stated essentially the most important contributors to the CPI rise have been housing, meals and transport – which all elevated by greater than 9 per cent.

Head of costs statistics on the ABS, Michelle Marquardt, stated growing working prices, together with wages, electrical energy and climate had affected meals provides which had pushed costs up.

“(The) annual movement of 7.3 per cent compared to 6.9 per cent in October and 7.3 per cent in September, indicating ongoing inflationary pressures,” she stated.

CPI INDEX
Camera IconThe November CPI figures have revealed a 7.3 per cent rise in inflation over the 12 months. NCA NewsWire / Nicki Connolly Credit: News Corp Australia

The newest figures come because the World Bank downgrades its international development forecast for 2023 all the way down to 1.7 per cent, from its initially forecasted three per cent.

Dr Chalmers stated the World Bank had issued a dire warning that the worldwide economic system was “perilously close” to recession.

“This report leaves little to no doubt the international economy is facing its third crisis in 15 years – following the hammer blows caused by the GFC and pandemic,” he stated.

“We should be optimistic about the future of our economy and our country, but realistic about what the deteriorating international outlook means for us in Australia.”

November’s bounce in inflation is regardless of a document Black Friday enhance, which boosted retail turnover from a small 0.4 per cent rise in October to 1.4 per cent.

ABS head of retail statistics Ben Dorber stated the occasion was rising in popularity amongst shoppers and extra frequent amongst retailers.

“Given the increasing popularity of Black Friday sales, the smaller increase in October may reflect consumers waiting to take advantage of discounting in November, particularly in light of cost-of-living pressures,” he stated.

As to what affect the newest bounce in inflation may have on rates of interest – the Reserve Bank will meet subsequent on February 7.

Annual inflation in Australia – international comparability