It’s a mini Elimination closing on Thursday night time as Richmond Tigers host the Sydney Swans on the MCG. Both groups are on six wins and a loss right here completely spells curtains on their 2023.
RICHMOND TIGERS (6-8-1) v SYDNEY SWANS (6-8-1) BETTING PREVIEW
RICHMOND TIGERS: $1.68 (through Ladbrokes)
SYDNEY SWANS: $2.25 (through betr)
MCG, Thursday, 7:20pm
Full CODE Bet Match Centre right here
WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT
- Sydney has lined the road in its final three matches.
- Sydney has gained the primary quarter in every of its final 9 matches towards opponents that have been ranked within the backside 4.
- Richmond have solely gained three of 9 video games on the MCG in 2023.
THE MATCH-UP
Round 17 of the AFL kicks off with what’s basically an elimination closing, as each the Tigers and Swans are separated solely by share on the ladder and each in determined want of a win to maintain slim possibilities of finals footy afloat.
Richmond have been humbled by Brisbane final week to the tune of 81 factors, whereas the Swans performed out an exciting draw towards Geelong, a recreation it completely ought to have gained if not for some shambolic aim kicking.
These golf equipment final met on the Adelaide Oval throughout Gather Round, seeing Sydney declare a 122-78 victory behind a dominant 46-9 closing quarter. Tom Papley was immense throughout that fixture, kicking a career-best six objectives from 25 disposals. His type has tapered off dramatically since then.
That was the third consecutive win for the Swans towards Richmond. Sydney additionally kicked over 100 factors in all three video games, with all three of these video games hitting the ‘over’ for punters.
BOUNCE BACK
Last Thursday night time on the Gabba was a horror present for the Tigers; one aim within the first half was simply not adequate as Brisbane ran riot.
Tim Taranto had his first poor recreation for Richmond, solely managing 21 disposals, which was nicely down on his common of 31 thus far this season. In spherical 5 towards the Swans, nonetheless, Taranto had 34 disposals and can be seeking to bounce again in an enormous method.
Shai Bolton had a quiet recreation final weekend, which he’s recognized to do at times. Prior to that he had kicked 13 objectives in eight video games, in addition to having 20 or extra touches in six of these eight video games. He is the catalyst for Richmond’s probabilities on Thursday.
Judson Clarke has been popping up with a aim right here and there for Richmond all season and has a minimum of one main in seven of his final eight matches. If Richmond are to kick a successful rating he might want to kick greater than his profession excessive of two.
FORGET LAST WEEK AND MOVE ON
Yes the Swans ought to have gained final week towards Geelong, however a minimum of they didn’t lose?
The Swans ought to head into this weekend filled with confidence: the Swans have performed higher every week since their bye. If that upward development continues, they need to handle Richmond on Thursday to make it 4 wins in a row.
Lance Franklin returns for what’s going to greater than doubtless be his final recreation on the MCG (except the Swans make finals) in what is bound to be an emotional night time for the champ, who has averaged three objectives on the MCG from 113 video games.
Errol Gulden is quick changing into a favorite at CODE Bet and on the CODE Bet Daily podcast: he’s taken an enormous step ahead this season and within the final three weeks he has had 27, 32 and 26 disposals together with 5 objectives. Errol has a minimum of one aim in six of his final seven matches.
Two younger and unheralded gamers within the Swans midfield ranks are Braeden Campbell and Angus Sheldrick, each have been implausible towards Geelong. Campbell kicked two essential objectives and now after 40 video games of AFL footy seems set to take the following step.
The similar goes for Angus Sheldrck who has had 69 possessions within the final three video games to associate with three objectives.
PAPLEY TO FIRE UP
It feels bizarre to say that Tom Papley is just not in nice type in the meanwhile regardless of kicking a minimum of one aim in 14 of 15 video games this season, with a complete of 25 for the 12 months.
He did kick six of these 25 towards Richmond in spherical 5 and hasn’t kicked greater than two objectives in a recreation since.
But in eight video games towards Richmond Papley has 16 objectives at an ideal two a recreation, in addition to averaging 15 disposals a recreation. If he has 15 and two on Thursday the Swans will doubtless win.
THE PICK
With these three straight wins over Richmond, the Swans clearly have had the wooden over Richmond in recent times. Despite three straight losses on the MCG for Sydney, the Swans needs to be barely too good for the undermanned Tigers.
[all odds as of July 5]
– CHECK OUT CODE BET’S AFL BETTING TIPS, PREDICTIONS AND ODDS ANALYSIS HUB HERE –
Originally printed as Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans: Thursday night time spherical 17 betting suggestions, picks, odds and predictions
Source: www.news.com.au
